In the 2020 presidential election, Georgia's Black voters played a pivotal role in securing an unexpected victory for President Joe Biden.

However, as the 2024 elections approach, there are growing concerns that these same voters may swing the state back to the Republicans.

Civil rights leaders and activists are raising concerns about the Biden campaign's relationship with Georgia's Black community, which constitutes 33 percent of the state's population. This demographic overwhelmingly supported Biden in the 2020 elections. However, Reuters reported on Monday that Black Georgians are increasingly indicating that they may not vote or may even vote Republican in 2024. This shift is attributed to the ongoing inflation crisis and a growing sentiment that Democrats have not fulfilled their ambitious racial justice promises.

Camilla Moore, chairwoman of the Georgia Black Republican Council, told Reuters, "A lot of them are not quite sure that Biden is the answer. What we're seeing in the Black community is a little bit more of a willingness in terms of Republicans being an option."

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Adding to Biden's challenges is the financial downfall of Stacey Abrams's (D.) network of voter turnout groups, which were instrumental in swinging Georgia in Biden's favor in 2020. Abrams's group, Fair Fight, laid off 75 percent of its staff in January after spending the $100 million it raised from 2018 through 2021 on unsuccessful voter suppression lawsuits that were ultimately dismissed by Georgia courts. The group also paid $9.4 million in legal fees to a firm run by Allegra Lawrence-Hardy, a close associate of Abrams and the chairwoman of Abrams's unsuccessful 2018 and 2022 gubernatorial campaigns. Furthermore, Fair Fight was ordered to pay over $200,000 to reimburse the state of Georgia for its failed lawsuit alleging that Gov. Brian Kemp (R.) stole the 2018 gubernatorial election from Abrams. As of January, Fair Fight had only $1.9 million cash on hand and was $2.5 million in debt.

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Abrams's other voter turnout group, the New Georgia Project, which she founded in 2013, also faced financial difficulties. The group laid off half its leadership team one month before the 2022 elections amid allegations of financial mismanagement. A former senior executive of the group told the Washington Free Beacon that the New Georgia Project's chief financial officer was fired in June 2022 after stating he couldn't perform his duties without breaking the law. Additionally, Politico reported in November that Nsé Ufot, Abrams's handpicked leader for the group, owed the group thousands of dollars for "non-work-related" reimbursements.

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Ufot, who was dismissed from the New Georgia Project in late 2022, refuted the allegations, calling them a "f*cking lie," according to Politico. The group is currently under investigation by the Georgia secretary of state and the Georgia State Ethics Commission. The New Georgia Project also recently settled a dispute with the IRS over unpaid payroll taxes, Politico reported.

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The decline in Black voter support for Democrats has already been observed at the polls. Democratic strategists in Georgia helped draft a memo revealing a nearly 25 percent drop in Black voter turnout between the 2018 and 2022 midterms, according to NPR.

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Jack DeLapp, coauthor of the memo, told NPR, "If the numbers look like they did nationally, Democrats don't win. We can't have a quarter of black voters in 2020 drop off in 2024."

National polls also suggest a challenging outlook for Democrats in the 2024 elections. An analysis of recent polls by the Financial Times on Monday revealed that the Democratic advantage in the Black community has dropped by approximately 25 points. Among all minority groups, Biden leads former President Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, by just 10 points, a significant decrease from his nearly 50-point lead in 2020.

In Georgia, this shift has resulted in a substantial polling lead for Trump. According to the latest RealClearPolitics polling average, the former President leads Biden in Georgia by 6.5 points.